Biden inches closer to Trump in latest national poll

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The Hill

President Biden has narrowed former President Trump’s lead in what is likely to be a tight rematch of the 2020 election, according to a new survey.

The poll, released Saturday from The New York Times/Siena, found the former president only edged Biden out by 1 point, bringing in 46 percent to the incumbent’s 45 percent. This is a switch up from a similar poll conducted by the pollsters in February, which showed Trump with 48 percent to Biden’s 43 percent in a two-way matchup.

When adding third party candidates to the mix, Biden drops down to 40 percent support and Trump drops to 42 percent. Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. earned two percent. per the poll.

Seven percent of respondents also said they didn’t plan to vote, and 6 percent said they were unsure. About 2 percent of respondents said they would choose someone other than Biden, Trump, Kennedy or other third-party candidates.

Trump earned more support among male voters, while more females supported Biden. The former president’s largest age group of supporters is voters 49 to 64 years old. Biden was most popular with respondents 65 years and older.

Just under 70 percent of Black respondents said they would vote for Biden, while just 16 percent support Trump, the survey found. White voters were also more likely to back the former president over the incumbent, 53 percent to 39 percent, respectively.

Biden was favored among college-educated adults. Roughly 55 percent of respondents with a bachelor’s degree said they would pick the current president, compared to 39 percent who said they would back Trump.

Regardless of education level, Biden was more popular with people of color. Fifty percent of Hispanic respondents said they would choose Biden. Just under 60 percent of people who consider themselves races other than white, Black, Hispanic or Latino, said they would back the sitting president.

Trump, however, remained popular with independent voters — a large voting group that will help determine the outcome of the election this fall. He earned 47 percent support of these voters, while Biden trailed behind with 42 percent, per the survey.

The Times/Siena poll was conducted Apr. 7-11 among 1,059 voters. It has a margin of error of 3.3 percentage points.

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